Join our mailing list for Real Estate News, Events, Insights & Resources.

Yesterday (30), on the second day of the fourth edition of the Logística do Futuro event organized by MundoLogística magazine, Giancarlo Nicastro, CEO of SiiLA, presented significant data about industrial properties and addressed the difference between regions in the country. The presentation took place during the second panel of the day at 9:30 AM in the main hall of the convention space at Frei Caneca Shopping in São Paulo.
Over the course of the two-day event, which began on the 29th, the expo featured talks from both national and international guests, where entrepreneurs from various sectors discussed the challenges in logistics operations.
Using data from SiiLA's intelligence platform, Market Analytics, Nicastro emphasized key points, including the positive imbalance between supply and demand. Nicastro explains that when the vacancy rate is between 12% and 15%, it indicates a balanced market. He illustrates that when vacancy surpasses 15%, tenants can negotiate rates, but when it's below 12%, there's no room for negotiation.
"I can affirm to you all that the market throughout Brazil is imbalanced, it's favoring property owners", he declares and warns, "those seeking expansion, those wanting to grow their business, it's not a joke, [...] depending on the region, there's a risk of not having availability of warehouses in the next 6 to 12 months."
According to the CEO's presentation, the current countrywide vacancy rate stands at 8.29%, a reduction of over 2 percentage points compared to 2022. And the current average rental asking price is R$ 23.60 per square meter – based on Class A+, A, and B properties.
The second part of the panel consisted of a discussion among Renata Torres, VP Dark Stores at iFood, who acted as the moderator, André Gavazza, SVP Development at GLP, Alexandre Felix, COO of Loggi, and Giancarlo Nicastro himself.
A standout point in the Q&A session revolved around adopting a new perspective on logistics. Andre Gavazza stated that previously, "only the square meter was considered, landlords and e-commerce players looked at the rental cost, [...] but they didn't really view the cost as a whole, which encompasses real estate costs, rent, maintenance, and property tax, added to operational costs, labor, workforce, and ISS costs. This aspect was rarely examined, but nowadays it's being given more consideration. [...] When the cost of real estate itself is analyzed, we're talking about only 5% of the operation's costs."
The COO of Loggi discussed the challenges of the last mile and supplying major urban centers. He explained that the consumer profile in large metropolises like São Paulo results in a unique dynamic, requiring an infrastructure adapted to these demands.
"More and more, people are buying smaller quantities, but the assortment is large. What does this mean? Looking toward the near future, what happens to the city's mobility? It's not just about people commuting to and from work, it's also about the movement of goods. This concept is already in place in other countries, it hasn't reached here yet, but it will soon."
Developing Regions Beyond the Southeast
The concentration of industrial properties the Southeast region was a point raised and discussed during the presentation. Market Analytics data reveals that 76.66% of these assets are in the Southeast, totaling over 18 million square meters in the region, compared to 2.3 million square meters in the Northeast and 2.3 million square meters in the South.
Despite the gap between these hubs, Giancarlo Nicastro asserts that other parts of Brazil present investment opportunities. "When we talk about the northern region, we're essentially talking about the Manaus Free Zone, a region that encompasses 400,000 square meters. There's potential, but the condition of the roads is terrible, railways still aren't functional, and waterways are limited. However, because it's a small market, I see an opportunity there."
"What's intriguing is the development in the Northeast. [The average asking price per square meter] went from R$ 16.60 to R$ 27.10, but why? Because available stock was reduced. So, if you asked me where I'd build a warehouse today, I'd say 'far from the Southeast'. That's where prices are increasing, demand is dropping, and opportunities are arising", he concludes.











Join our mailing list for Real Estate News, Events, Insights & Resources.
