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Extrema (MG), Fortaleza (CE), Brasília (DF), Cabo de Santo Agostinho (PE), and other regions monitored by the SiiLA research team have near-zero industrial vacancy rates. This means that there are few or no available spaces in these locations for companies that need to install and/or expand their operations, whether they are e-commerce players, retailers, transportation and logistics companies, pharmaceuticals, food and beverage companies, or other industrial sectors that require warehouse space.
Given the growing demand for space in these regions and the limited available stock, the REsource editorial team interviewed key players in the commercial real estate market to provide readers with insights into how these companies are directing their efforts to meet market demands and continue on the path of growth.
According to Simone Santos, CEO of SDS Properties, the industrial real estate agency has been facing this challenge in the market for some time now. "The difficulty of finding industrial properties in regions outside the SP-RJ axis has always existed", she said. "Even more mature regions like Extrema, in the South of Minas Gerais, with 1 million square meters developed in the last 10 years and strong demand fueled by fiscal incentives and e-commerce, maintain a vacancy rate always below 5% and rental values above the national average."
In the case of low-vacancy markets, SDS typically monitors industrial projects still in the development phase to meet tenants' demands through pre-leasing or Built to Suit (BTS) assets. "In the logistics sector, the development cycle is shorter, and supply can grow significantly and quickly, putting pressure on occupancy and rents. We are always mindful of the supply and demand relationship in all markets, but we always analyze the depth of a market before starting a development", says Bruno Greve, Director of Investments at HSI, discussing the strategy adopted by the management firm. With an extensive portfolio of assets in Brazil and approximately R$12 billion under management, HSI is one of the largest investment managers, operating in the office, industrial, mall, hotel, residential, land development, and self-storage sectors.
On the other hand, the developer Fulwood plans to increase its presence not only in Extrema but also in Pouso Alegre and Betim. In the coming years, the company expects to offer approximately 400,000 square meters of new area in the state of Minas Gerais. In addition to the cities in Minas Gerais, the São Paulo-Campinas corridor is also on Fulwood's radar. "We have approved a project in Vinhedo because we believe that the São Paulo-Campinas corridor is quite interesting, especially around Anhanguera-Bandeirantes. In 2024, we should start a project of over 100,000 square meters", says Gilson Schilis, Director of the company.
The company's appetite does not stop there. In addition to the mentioned cities, Guarulhos (SP), Curitiba (PR), Florianópolis, and Joinville (SC) are other locations that are part of the development plans for industrial properties and are expected to contribute to the importance of other regions in the Brazilian logistics scenario.
It is a fact that the high demand for warehouses during the pandemic period has brought significant development to other regions of the country that were not fully on the radar of investors and developers before the health crisis. While the Southeast still has the largest volume of industrial properties inventory, the Northeast of the country recently surpassed the South region in terms of warehouse area, a strong indication that the decentralization of logistics in the country is gaining traction.
"The demand generated by e-commerce has intensified the perception of this scarcity scenario and has helped attract investors to less explored areas, such as Greater Salvador, Fortaleza, and Belém", adds Simone. For example, HSI is expanding an asset in Manaus (AM) by an additional 20,000 square meters, which has been leased to the retailer Bemol.
"There is currently a high volume of projects being studied in the market, but we believe that the high production and capital costs will postpone part of the future supply, which should maintain the vacancy rate at a healthy level in the coming years", predicts the HSI executive. "Our portfolio is 100% leased and has a total leasable area of 576,000 square meters, with 457,000 square meters in our listed fund (HSLG11). In our private equity strategy, we currently have 310,000 square meters of leasable area under construction", adds Greve. "Our industrial portfolio is all located within a 30km radius of major urban centers, where we believe the demand will remain strong and future supply will be limited, allowing for rent increases in the coming years."
SDS celebrates positive results in the first quarter with new projects in the pipeline and a satisfactory volume of visits. "These are all indications of another promising year and good results for this market. It is important to highlight that the positive outlook is also due to the diversity of activities that are expanding and renewing their sites, not just relying on e-commerce, which already brings significant occupancy volume", says Simone. This topic was recently covered in a report that mentions other sectors of the economy as driving forces behind the industrial properties market.
"Despite the uncertain political scenario and high interest rates, the major drivers of the industrial and office industry are the REITs. With the increase in interest rates and construction costs, the markets have become more restricted. Additionally, we are seeing retailers facing financial difficulties and ceasing to demand space, but there are other sectors that still have demand", says Schilis.
Simone observes a noticeable movement of companies leaving Class B assets to occupy higher construction standard developments, such as Class A+ and A. This viewpoint is also endorsed by Bruno Greve, Director of Investments at HSI. "Despite the recent deceleration of e-commerce, which absorbed a lot of space in 2020 and 2021, the flight to quality for high-standard assets located near major urban centers remains a major driver of demand", he states.
HSI's assessment aligns with the future outlook for warehouses. "The first quarter showed strong demand primarily from logistics operators and the industry, compensating for the decreased appetite of e-commerce players. We believe this trend will continue in the coming quarters", affirms Greve.
The asset management company is preparing to deliver 188,000 square meters of leasable area related to Syslog Cajamar by the end of 2023, located near the capital city of São Paulo. "We are optimistic about this asset in Cajamar, which is expected to be delivered in a low vacancy scenario."
For Fulwood, the industrial market remains promising, and professionalization of the sector is one of the highlights. "The growth outlook is positive in the sense that our sector is becoming increasingly professional, both in terms of funds and developers."











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